Per 82 GP	2026-27projection	2025-2682 GP	H241 GP	H141 GP	Prev 3214 GP · 3y
TOI	18.80	18.89	17.76	17.22	18.46
PP TOI	3.12	3.03	3.16	2.90	3.31
G	36	40	50	30	38
A	41	35	39	31	44
PTS	77	75	89	61	81
PPP	25	26	36	16	27
SOG	265	246	245	247	301
PIM	33	34	28	40	41
Hits	106	124	87	161	145
Blocks	44	33	39	27	43

Sample: 82 GP · 1,184 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingLeft wing · league-wide (of 281)

6Matt Boldy130

7Jake Guentzel117

8Andrei Svechnikov113

9Filip Forsberg111

10Juraj Slafkovsky104

11Cutter Gauthier104

12J.T. Miller102

offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Metrics worth highlighting

The charts that move this projection — where he broke from his own 3-year rate, where the season split in half, and where we’re taking the number next year

Second-half surge

PPP

Power play points ran at a 36 pace in the second half after 16 in the first, per 82 games.

Second-half surge

all5v5

Goals ran at a 50 pace in the second half after 30 in the first, per 82 games.

Top of the league

SOG/60

SOG/60 sits in the 96th percentile league-wide (8.56).

Below his 3-year rate

PP SOG/60

PP SOG/60 ran 27% below his 3-year rate last season (13.03 against 17.79).

Picked automatically from every chart on this card, ranked by how far each number moved. Each claim is measured off the chart drawn beside it.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Forward

Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit

Tage ThompsonC,RW · Buffalo Sabres91% match
shared: SOG, G, PPP, A
John TavaresC · Toronto Maple Leafs89% match
shared: G, SOG, PPP, A
Joel Eriksson EkC · Minnesota Wild87% match
shared: SOG, G, Hits, PPP
Sidney CrosbyC · Pittsburgh Penguins86% match
shared: G, PPP, SOG, A

Complementary Forward

Same position, opposite profile — strong where Filip Forsberg is weak or average, light where he’s strong

Scott SabourinRW · Tampa Bay Lightningcovers 2
fills: PIM, Hits
Ross JohnstonLW · St. Louis Bluescovers 2
fills: PIM, Hits
Curtis DouglasC,RW · Seattle Krakencovers 2
fills: PIM, Hits
Michael PezzettaLW,RW · Toronto Maple Leafscovers 2
fills: Hits, PIM

Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)

This player

the profile below

vs Similar

similar players hug the shape

vs Complementary

complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)

Coaching

2026-27 · Andrew Brunette (NSH)

Last year: Andrew Brunette full season — no change

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
TOI	18.80	18.89	18.46	+2%
5v5 TOI	14.40	14.45	13.83	+4%
PP TOI	3.12	3.03	3.31	-8%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 20 · 21 · 22 · 19

TOI*

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.

By season — year over year

TOI

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

TOI → 18.80: holds last year's role
5v5 TOI → 14.40: holds last year's role
PP TOI → 3.12: holds last year's role

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
SOG/60	8.30	8.56	10.50	-18%
G/60	1.01	1.16	1.17	-1%
iSH%	12.17	13.55	11.17	+21%
ixG/60	–	0.91	1.04	-12%
iCF/60	–	19.80	21.17	-6%
iSCF/60	–	8.10	9.81	-17%
iHDCF/60	–	3.24	4.31	-25%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 20 · 21 · 22 · 19

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

By season — year over year

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

SOG

all5v5

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

RiskGoals projected DOWN: iSH% ran hot at 13.6% vs a 11.2% 3-yr mark while 5v5 ixG/60 0.91 (86th pct league-wide) was flat — finishing, not process. Regressing iSH% toward 12.2% pulls the goal rate ~13% down.

RiskShot volume down 18% (5v5 SOG/60 8.56 vs 10.50) — volume is the repeatable half, so this caps the goal ceiling.

RiskAge 32 — modest past-prime drag on scoring rates.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
on-ice SH%	9.44	9.22	9.71	-5%
IPP	78.08	80.24	75.44	+6%
1A/60	0.61	0.56	0.67	-16%
2A/60	0.43	0.30	0.47	-36%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 20 · 21 · 22 · 19

1A/60

2A/60

By season — year over year

1A/60

2A/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

PTS

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextAssist environment looks normal (on-ice SH% 9.2%, IPP 80.2%).

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
PP TOI	3.12	3.03	3.31	-8%
PP iSH%	14.53	20.41	12.87	+59%
PP SOG/60	14.22	13.03	17.79	-27%
PP ixG/60	–	1.83	2.15	-15%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 20 · 21 · 22 · 19

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

By season — year over year

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PPP

PPG

PPA

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextPP role steady at ~3.1 PP TOI/gp.

RiskPP finishing ran hot (20.4% vs 12.9% 3-yr) with flat PP chances (PP ixG/60 1.83) — expect PP goals to cool.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
PIMs/60	1.30	1.42	1.56	-9%
Hits/60	5.20	6.03	7.09	-15%
Blks/60	2.10	1.62	2.00	-19%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 20 · 21 · 22 · 19

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

By season — year over year

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PIM

all5v5

HITS

all5v5

BLK

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

RiskHits tailing off: Q4 3.66/60 and 2nd-half 4.18 below the 6.03 season rate — projected DOWN to 5.20/60, weighting the recent decline over the 7.09 3-yr mark.

TailwindBlocks surging late: Q4 3.23/60 and 2nd-half 1.99 vs a 1.62 season rate (2.00 3-yr) (20th pct league-wide) — reads as a real role/confidence step, so projected UP to 2.10/60, weighting the finish over the 3-yr baseline.