Per 82 GP	2026-27projection adj	2025-2637 GP	H226 GP	H111 GP	Prev 3thin
TOI	18.32	17.13	17.38	13.93	–
PP TOI	2.40	2.37	2.34	2.43	–
G	▲12	9	13	-0	–
A	▲28	11	13	7	–
PTS	▲40	20	25	7	–
PPP	▲16	13	16	7	–
SOG	▲130	109	119	85	–
PIM	▲22	18	25	0	–
Hits	▼30	33	31	37	–
Blocks	▼68	66	81	31	–

Sample: 37 GP · 517 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingDefense · league-wide (of 303)

105Mattias Ekholm4

106Simon Benoit4

107Louis Crevier3

108Zayne Parekh2

109Artem Zub2

110Matt Roy2

111Vincent Desharnais1

offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Context-adjusted (▲/▼ vs the rate-model baseline): Rookie baseline: projected role (Bouchard). REVISED 2026-07-27 (CGY pass): the bump now comes from EVEN STRENGTH, not more PP. His ES IPP was 17.6% on 76%+ offensive-zone starts with a 6.5 5v5 S% (team-worst luck alongside Coronato) — that regresses up hard. PP trimmed to fund the Nemec split (PPP 18 -> 16), EV raised (G 10 -> 12, A 26 -> 28). Lands ~40, between our old 36 and the outside 39-43. 2025-26 NHL: 37 GP (9-11-20). Per-82; tune here. NOTE: this `set` block hard-pins every category, so a `deploy` change alone will NOT move the printed line — edit the numbers here.

Context brain — deployment, role, coaching & injury signals (why the line should move)

RiskKeep baseline modest; boom-or-bust without hits/blocks support. · Apples & Ginos Fantasy Hockey

Metrics worth highlighting

The charts that move this projection — where he broke from his own 3-year rate, where the season split in half, and where we’re taking the number next year

We project it up

all5v5

We’re projecting assists 150% above last season, 11 to 28.

Second-half surge

BLK

all5v5

Blocks ran at a 81 pace in the second half after 31 in the first, per 82 games.

Second-half surge

PPP

Power play points ran at a 16 pace in the second half after 7 in the first, per 82 games.

We project it up

PTS

all5v5

We’re projecting points 100% above last season, 20 to 40.

Picked automatically from every chart on this card, ranked by how far each number moved. Each claim is measured off the chart drawn beside it.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Defense

Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit

Owen PowerD · Buffalo Sabres77% match
Simon NemecD · Calgary Flames73% match
shared: G
Carter YakemchukD · Ottawa Senators73% match
shared: PPP, G
Vladislav GavrikovD · New York Rangers72% match

Complementary Defense

Same position, opposite profile — strong where Zayne Parekh is weak or average, light where he’s strong

Donovan SebrangoD · Florida Pantherscovers 2
fills: PIM, Hits
Rasmus DahlinD · Buffalo Sabrescovers 3
fills: A, PIM, SOG
Josh MansonD · Colorado Avalanchecovers 2
fills: PIM, Hits
Arber XhekajD · Montreal Canadienscovers 2
fills: PIM, Hits

Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)

This player

the profile below

vs Similar

similar players hug the shape

vs Complementary

complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)

Coaching

2026-27 · Ryan Huska (CGY)

Last year: Ryan Huska full season — no change

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
TOI	18.32	17.13	n/a
5v5 TOI	15.21	13.97	n/a
PP TOI	2.40	2.37	n/a

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 11 · 0 · 7 · 19

TOI*

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.

By season — year over year

TOI

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

TOI → 18.32: one NHL season — role grown +7% toward a sophomore workload
5v5 TOI → 15.21: same coach (Ryan Huska) — carries the elevated finish (2nd half 14.7, Q4 15.4) over the full-year 14.0; one NHL season — role grown +7% toward a sophomore workload
PP TOI → 2.40: PP1-QB SPLIT with Nemec (2.4 / 2.2) instead of locking either one. Finished the year strong at 2.58 PP TOI and is the better facilitating QB, so he keeps the tilt — but Calgary paid two 1sts for Nemec and won't sit him on PP2 all year. 4.6 combined across two units is realistic.

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
SOG/60	3.31	3.25	n/a
G/60	0.12	0.12	n/a
iSH%	3.69	3.69	n/a
ixG/60	–	0.23	n/a
iCF/60	–	10.44	n/a
iSCF/60	–	3.71	n/a
iHDCF/60	–	0.58	n/a

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 11 · 0 · 7 · 19

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

By season — year over year

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

SOG

all5v5

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

TailwindRaise goal/point ceiling on elite rush generation plus PP support. · Apples & Ginos Fantasy Hockey

TailwindTrajectory: 5v5 ixG/60 climbed 0.17→0.21 across the year — process trending the right way into next season.

TailwindAge 20 — still on the up-slope of the scoring curve.

TailwindAge 20 on a single NHL season — projected a development step, not a flat repeat: scoring rates +10% and role +7% toward the mid-20s peak (a young riser improves on last year, not repeats it).

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
on-ice SH%	6.58	6.58	n/a
IPP	20.11	20.11	n/a
1A/60	0.23	0.23	n/a
2A/60	0.00	0.00	n/a

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 11 · 0 · 7 · 19

1A/60

2A/60

By season — year over year

1A/60

2A/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

PTS

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextProject Parekh onto CGY but hedge 2026-27 hard: limited/sheltered minutes cap early PPP despite his high longer-term upside.

ContextAssist environment looks normal (on-ice SH% 6.6%, IPP 20.1%).

ContextDefenseman — weight transition/PP facilitation over raw 2A; secondary assists read a touch better for D than forwards.

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
PP TOI	2.40	2.37	n/a
PP iSH%	23.12	23.12	n/a
PP SOG/60	8.91	8.91	n/a
PP ixG/60	–	0.63	n/a

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 11 · 0 · 7 · 19

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

By season — year over year

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PPP

PPG

PPA

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextProject Parekh onto CGY but hedge 2026-27 hard: limited/sheltered minutes cap early PPP despite his high longer-term upside.

ContextPP role steady at ~2.4 PP TOI/gp.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
PIMs/60	0.99	0.93	n/a
Hits/60	1.44	1.51	n/a
Blks/60	2.95	2.90	n/a

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 11 · 0 · 7 · 19

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

By season — year over year

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PIM

all5v5

HITS

all5v5

BLK

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

RiskHits tailing off: Q4 1.64/60 and 2nd-half 0.82 below the 1.51 season rate — projected DOWN to 1.44/60, weighting the recent decline over the n/a 3-yr mark.

TailwindBlocks surging late: Q4 3.70/60 and 2nd-half 3.07 vs a 2.90 season rate (n/a 3-yr) (60th pct league-wide) — reads as a real role/confidence step, so projected UP to 2.95/60, weighting the finish over the 3-yr baseline.