Per 82 GP	2026-27projection	2025-2681 GP	H242 GP	H139 GP	Prev 3178 GP · 3y
TOI	20.78	20.79	20.31	19.40	20.67
PP TOI	0.12	0.12	0.10	0.13	0.12
G	4	5	4	6	5
A	22	25	29	21	18
PTS	26	30	33	27	22
PPP	0	0	0	0	0
SOG	91	93	95	91	84
PIM	54	58	50	66	48
Hits	75	67	40	95	151
Blocks	140	122	123	120	139

Sample: 81 GP · 1,371 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingDefense · league-wide (of 303)

106Simon Benoit4

107Louis Crevier3

108Zayne Parekh2

109Artem Zub2

110Matt Roy2

111Vincent Desharnais1

112Max Crozier1

offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Metrics worth highlighting

The charts that move this projection — where he broke from his own 3-year rate, where the season split in half, and where we’re taking the number next year

Second-half fade

HITS

all5v5

Hits ran at a 40 pace in the second half after 95 in the first, per 82 games.

Second-half surge

all5v5

Assists ran at a 29 pace in the second half after 21 in the first, per 82 games.

Above his 3-year rate

SOG/60

SOG/60 ran 25% above his 3-year rate last season (3.98 against 3.18).

We project it up

BLK

all5v5

We’re projecting blocks 15% above last season, 122 to 140.

Picked automatically from every chart on this card, ranked by how far each number moved. Each claim is measured off the chart drawn beside it.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Defense

Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit

Timothy LiljegrenD · Washington Capitals87% match
shared: Blocks
Adam LarssonD · Seattle Kraken86% match
shared: Blocks
Jake McCabeD · Toronto Maple Leafs85% match
shared: PIM, Blocks
Connor MurphyD · Edmonton Oilers85% match
shared: PIM, Blocks

Complementary Defense

Same position, opposite profile — strong where Artem Zub is weak or average, light where he’s strong

Cale MakarD · Colorado Avalanchecovers 3
fills: A, PPP, SOG
Zach WerenskiD · Columbus Blue Jacketscovers 3
fills: SOG, A, PPP
Quinn HughesD · Minnesota Wildcovers 3
fills: A, PPP, SOG
Evan BouchardD · Edmonton Oilerscovers 3
fills: A, PPP, SOG

Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)

This player

the profile below

vs Similar

similar players hug the shape

vs Complementary

complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)

Coaching

2026-27 · Travis Green (OTT)

Last year: Travis Green full season — no change

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
TOI	20.78	20.79	20.67	+1%
5v5 TOI	17.46	16.94	17.36	-2%
PP TOI	0.12	0.12	0.12	-7%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 20 · 19 · 22 · 20

TOI*

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.

By season — year over year

TOI

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

TOI → 20.78: holds last year's role
5v5 TOI → 17.46: same coach (Travis Green) — carries the elevated finish (2nd half 17.4, Q4 18.3) over the full-year 16.9
PP TOI → 0.12: same coach (Travis Green) — carries the elevated finish (2nd half 0.1, Q4 0.2) over the full-year 0.1

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
SOG/60	3.98	3.98	3.18	+25%
G/60	0.17	0.22	0.09	+132%
iSH%	4.25	5.53	2.98	+86%
ixG/60	–	0.15	0.11	+38%
iCF/60	–	9.53	7.82	+22%
iSCF/60	–	2.49	1.79	+39%
iHDCF/60	–	0.31	0.25	+23%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 20 · 19 · 22 · 20

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

By season — year over year

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

SOG

all5v5

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

TailwindProcess rising: 5v5 ixG/60 0.15 (13th pct league-wide) up on the 3-yr 0.11 — the shot quality is real, so the projected goal rate leans on chances, not a hot %.

TailwindShot volume up 25% (5v5 SOG/60 3.98 vs 3.18) — volume is the repeatable half, so this raises the goal ceiling.

ContextTrajectory: 5v5 ixG/60 fell from 0.17 (1st half) to 0.14 (2nd) even though shot volume held — a chance-quality dip, not a volume one.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
on-ice SH%	9.05	9.29	7.96	+17%
IPP	43.49	46.53	29.63	+57%
1A/60	0.42	0.57	0.25	+126%
2A/60	0.33	0.35	0.35	+0%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 20 · 19 · 22 · 20

1A/60

2A/60

By season — year over year

1A/60

2A/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

PTS

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

RiskIPP spiked to 46.5% vs 29.6% 3-yr — point participation this far above baseline rarely holds; assist share likely gives a little back.

TailwindShot-driving up (5v5 iCF/60 9.53 vs 7.82) — real creation underneath, so don't over-regress the helpers.

TailwindHigh-danger setups up (iHDCF/60 0.31 vs 0.25) — the dangerous chances that turn into primary assists are trending up.

ContextDefenseman — weight transition/PP facilitation over raw 2A; secondary assists read a touch better for D than forwards.

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
PP TOI	0.12	0.12	0.12	-7%
PP iSH%	–	n/a	0.00
PP SOG/60	0.67	0.00	2.70	-100%
PP ixG/60	–	0.00	0.09	-100%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 20 · 19 · 22 · 20

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

By season — year over year

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PPP

PPG

PPA

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextPP role steady at ~0.1 PP TOI/gp.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
PIMs/60	1.84	1.84	1.90	-3%
Hits/60	2.90	2.67	5.63	-53%
Blks/60	4.10	4.02	4.21	-5%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 20 · 19 · 22 · 20

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

By season — year over year

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PIM

all5v5

HITS

all5v5

BLK

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

RiskHits tailing off: Q4 1.47/60 and 2nd-half 1.48 below the 2.67 season rate — projected DOWN to 2.90/60, weighting the recent decline over the 5.63 3-yr mark.

ContextBlocks role-stable at 4.02/60 (81st pct league-wide) → 4.10 projected.