🏒@HockeyBangers2026-27 projections

Overview

@HockeyBangers

2026-27 Projection

Sam Colangelo

ANA · Age 24.6 · 🇺🇸 USA · 6′2″, 205 lb · Undrafted
ANAteam
RWposition
224position rank
683skater rank
-40overall
-39offense
-1peripherals
goals
18
assists
5
points
23
power play points
2
shots on goal
76
penalty minutes
7
hits
151
blocked shots
34

Value over replacement, based on 82 games played.
Ideal for H2H 12-team banger category leagues, 16 roster spots.

Per 82 GP2026-27projection2025-26thinH22 GPH17 GPPrev 332 GP · 1y
TOI12.49––9.9012.49
PP TOI1.21––0.221.21
G18–––26
A5–––5
PTS23–––31
PPP2–––5
SOG76–––105
PIM7–––5
Hits151–––172
Blocks34–––44

Sample: 9 GP · 85 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingRight wing · league-wide (of 273)
221Adam Gaudette-39
222Danton Heinen-39
223Frederic Gaudreau-39
224Sam Colangelo-40
225Jonatan Berggren-40
226Alexander Kerfoot-40
227Cody Glass-41
offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Forward
Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit
Complementary Forward
Same position, opposite profile — strong where Sam Colangelo is weak or average, light where he’s strong
Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)
This player
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
the profile below
vs Similar
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
similar players hug the shape
vs Complementary
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)
Coaching
2026-27 · Joel Quenneville (ANA)
Last year: Joel Quenneville full season (1st yr) — no change
Metric26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
TOI12.49n/a12.49
5v5 TOI11.11n/a11.11
PP TOI1.21n/a1.21
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  7 · 0 · 2 · 0
TOI*
3-yr 12.499.90Q1Q2Q3Q4
5v5 TOI
3-yr 11.119.68Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP TOI
3-yr 1.210.22Q1Q2Q3Q4
*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.
By season — year over year
TOI
12.4922-2323-2424-2525-2626-27
5v5 TOI
11.1122-2323-2424-2525-2626-27
PP TOI
1.2122-2323-2424-2525-2626-27

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
SOG/603.71n/a5.74
G/600.85n/a1.18
iSH%20.56n/a20.56
ixG/60–n/a0.74
iCF/60–n/a12.82
iSCF/60–n/a7.42
iHDCF/60–n/a3.04
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  7 · 0 · 2 · 0
SOG/60
3-yr 5.742.66Q1Q2Q3Q4
iSH%
3-yr 20.5633.46Q1Q2Q3Q4
ixG/60
3-yr 0.740.30Q1Q2Q3Q4
iCF/60
3-yr 12.829.74Q1Q2Q3Q4
iSCF/60
3-yr 7.422.66Q1Q2Q3Q4
iHDCF/60
3-yr 3.041.77Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
SOG/60
5.7422-2323-2424-2525-26
iSH%
20.5622-2323-2424-2525-26
ixG/60
0.7422-2323-2424-2525-26
iCF/60
12.8222-2323-2424-2525-26
iSCF/60
7.4222-2323-2424-2525-26
iHDCF/60
3.0422-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
G
1822-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
SOG
7622-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextNo 2025-26 sample — goals/shots projected off the prior 3-yr profile, held flat.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
on-ice SH%13.12n/a13.12
IPP47.35n/a47.35
1A/600.34n/a0.34
2A/600.00n/a0.00
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  7 · 0 · 2 · 0
1A/60
3-yr 0.340.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
2A/60
3-yr 0.000.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
1A/60
0.3422-2323-2424-2525-26
2A/60
0.0022-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
A
522-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
PTS
2322-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
RiskOn-ice SH% hot at 13.1% vs a 13.1% 3-yr mark — teammate finishing regresses (~8% is league-normal), so some assists come off.

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
PP TOI1.21n/a1.21
PP iSH%33.37n/a33.37
PP SOG/604.37n/a9.26
PP ixG/60–n/a2.01
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  7 · 0 · 2 · 0
PP TOI/GP
3-yr 1.210.22Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP SOG/60
3-yr 9.260.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP ixG/60
3-yr 2.010.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
PP TOI/GP
1.2122-2323-2424-2525-26
PP SOG/60
9.2622-2323-2424-2525-26
PP ixG/60
2.0122-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
PPP
222-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
PPG
122-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
PPA
122-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextLittle/no PP role — PP points capped regardless of finishing.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
PIMs/600.46n/a0.34
Hits/609.97n/a11.30
Blks/602.08n/a2.87
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  7 · 0 · 2 · 0
PIMs/60
3-yr 0.343.54Q1Q2Q3Q4
Hits/60
3-yr 11.307.97Q1Q2Q3Q4
Blks/60
3-yr 2.870.89Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
PIMs/60
0.3422-2323-2424-2525-26
Hits/60
11.3022-2323-2424-2525-26
Blks/60
2.8722-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
PIM
722-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
HITS
15122-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
BLK
3422-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
RiskHits tailing off: Q4 7.97/60 and 2nd-half 7.97 below the 11.30 season rate — projected DOWN to 9.97/60, weighting the recent decline over the 11.30 3-yr mark.
RiskBlocks tailing off: Q4 0.89/60 and 2nd-half 0.89 below the 2.87 season rate — projected DOWN to 2.08/60, weighting the recent decline over the 2.87 3-yr mark.