Per 82 GP	2026-27projection	2025-2664 GP	H225 GP	H139 GP	Prev 3225 GP · 3y
TOI	19.18	19.02	18.16	17.79	20.13
PP TOI	2.59	2.57	2.51	2.61	2.90
G	25	32	44	24	24
A	57	50	60	44	61
PTS	82	82	103	68	85
PPP	20	18	20	17	25
SOG	144	131	146	121	153
PIM	33	31	46	21	33
Hits	15	13	11	14	16
Blocks	50	51	57	48	45

Sample: 64 GP · 899 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingCentre · league-wide (of 271)

41Alex Laferriere57

42Ryan Hartman54

43Nazem Kadri54

44Robert Thomas53

45Dylan Strome53

46Pierre-Luc Dubois52

47Will Smith49

offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Metrics worth highlighting

The charts that move this projection — where he broke from his own 3-year rate, where the season split in half, and where we’re taking the number next year

Second-half surge

ixG/60

ixG/60 finished the year 150% above where it started (0.40 in the first half, 1.16 in the second). The projection leans on how the season ended, so the second half counts for more.

Second-half surge

iSH%

iSH% finished the year 117% above where it started (13.37 in the first half, 28.97 in the second). The projection leans on how the season ended, so the second half counts for more.

Top of the league

1A/60

1A/60 sits in the 97th percentile league-wide (1.00).

Bottom of the league

Hits/60

Hits/60 sits in the 2th percentile league-wide (0.53).

Picked automatically from every chart on this card, ranked by how far each number moved. Each claim is measured off the chart drawn beside it.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Forward

Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit

Dylan StromeC · Washington Capitals94% match
shared: A, Blocks, PPP
Ryan O'ReillyC · Nashville Predators86% match
shared: A, Blocks, PPP
Mats ZuccarelloRW · Los Angeles Kings85% match
shared: A, PPP, Blocks
Mitch MarnerC,LW,RW · Vegas Golden Knights85% match
shared: A, PPP, Blocks

Complementary Forward

Same position, opposite profile — strong where Robert Thomas is weak or average, light where he’s strong

Michael PezzettaLW,RW · Toronto Maple Leafscovers 2
fills: Hits, PIM
Liam O'BrienLW · Utah Mammothcovers 2
fills: PIM, Hits
Jacob MelansonRW · Seattle Krakencovers 2
fills: Hits, PIM
Garnet HathawayRW · Florida Pantherscovers 2
fills: Hits, PIM

Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)

This player

the profile below

vs Similar

similar players hug the shape

vs Complementary

complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)

Coaching

2026-27 · Jim Montgomery (STL)

Last year: Jim Montgomery full season — no change

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
TOI	19.18	19.02	20.13	-6%
5v5 TOI	14.23	14.05	14.44	-3%
PP TOI	2.59	2.57	2.90	-11%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 17 · 22 · 7 · 18

TOI*

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.

By season — year over year

TOI

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

TOI → 19.18: holds last year's role
5v5 TOI → 14.23: holds last year's role
PP TOI → 2.59: holds last year's role

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
SOG/60	5.32	4.87	5.00	-3%
G/60	0.99	1.07	0.65	+66%
iSH%	18.53	21.97	12.92	+70%
ixG/60	–	0.63	0.59	+8%
iCF/60	–	9.34	9.44	-1%
iSCF/60	–	6.47	6.39	+1%
iHDCF/60	–	3.00	2.73	+10%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 17 · 22 · 7 · 18

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

By season — year over year

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

SOG

all5v5

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

TailwindProcess rising: 5v5 ixG/60 0.63 (52nd pct league-wide) up on the 3-yr 0.59 — the shot quality is real, so the projected goal rate leans on chances, not a hot %.

TailwindTrajectory: 5v5 ixG/60 climbed 0.40→1.16 across the year — process trending the right way into next season.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
on-ice SH%	11.83	13.07	10.78	+21%
IPP	74.54	76.11	72.24	+5%
1A/60	1.02	1.00	1.02	-2%
2A/60	0.77	0.67	0.70	-5%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 17 · 22 · 7 · 18

1A/60

2A/60

By season — year over year

1A/60

2A/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

PTS

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

RiskOn-ice SH% hot at 13.1% vs a 10.8% 3-yr mark — teammate finishing regresses (~8% is league-normal), so some assists come off.

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
PP TOI	2.59	2.57	2.90	-11%
PP iSH%	16.43	14.93	16.86	-11%
PP SOG/60	6.43	7.30	8.73	-16%
PP ixG/60	–	0.84	1.05	-20%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 17 · 22 · 7 · 18

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

By season — year over year

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PPP

PPG

PPA

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

TailwindRaise baseline toward 60-70 on line quality and PP growth. · Apples & Ginos Fantasy Hockey

ContextPP role steady at ~2.6 PP TOI/gp.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
PIMs/60	1.90	1.60	1.40	+14%
Hits/60	0.60	0.53	0.76	-30%
Blks/60	1.97	1.93	1.85	+4%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 17 · 22 · 7 · 18

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

By season — year over year

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PIM

all5v5

HITS

all5v5

BLK

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

TailwindRaise baseline toward 70+ and keep a strong multi-category floor. · Apples & Ginos Fantasy Hockey

RiskHits tailing off: Q4 0.67/60 and 2nd-half 0.34 below the 0.53 season rate — projected DOWN to 0.60/60, weighting the recent decline over the 0.76 3-yr mark.

TailwindBlocks surging late: Q4 1.79/60 and 2nd-half 2.56 vs a 1.93 season rate (1.85 3-yr) (30th pct league-wide) — reads as a real role/confidence step, so projected UP to 1.97/60, weighting the finish over the 3-yr baseline.