Per 82 GP	2026-27projection adj	2025-26thin	H25 GP	H18 GP	Prev 324 GP · 1y
TOI	12.51	–	12.86	–	12.51
PP TOI	1.90	–	2.28	–	1.90
G	▲16	–	–	–	10
A	▲13	–	–	–	10
PTS	▲29	–	–	–	21
PPP	▲10	–	–	–	7
SOG	▲122	–	–	–	103
PIM	▲10	–	–	–	7
Hits	▼41	–	–	–	55
Blocks	▼20	–	–	–	21

Sample: 13 GP · 127 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingRight wing · league-wide (of 273)

217Ilya Mikheyev-37

218Ivan Miroshnichenko-37

219Nathan Bastian-37

220Jonathan Lekkerimaki-37

221Adam Gaudette-39

222Danton Heinen-39

223Frederic Gaudreau-39

offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Context-adjusted (▲/▼ vs the rate-model baseline): Rookie baseline: projected role (sniper/PP finisher, consistency gamble; one day could become someone like Raymond) blended with 2025-26 NHL (13 GP) at w=0.33. Per-82 line; GP/availability is separate. Tune here.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Forward

Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit

Jack QuinnRW · Buffalo Sabres80% match
Cole PerfettiLW,RW · Winnipeg Jets78% match
Igor ChernyshovLW · San Jose Sharks75% match
Mackie SamoskevichLW,RW · Seattle Kraken74% match

Complementary Forward

Same position, opposite profile — strong where Jonathan Lekkerimaki is weak or average, light where he’s strong

Evgeni MalkinC,LW · Pittsburgh Penguinscovers 3
fills: A, PIM, SOG
Mathew BarzalC,RW · New York Islanderscovers 3
fills: A, SOG, PIM
Matvei MichkovLW,RW · Philadelphia Flyerscovers 3
fills: PIM, A, SOG
Gavin McKennaLW · Toronto Maple Leafscovers 2
fills: A, PIM

Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)

This player

the profile below

vs Similar

similar players hug the shape

vs Complementary

complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)

Coaching

2026-27 · Manny Malhotra (VAN) new voice

Last year: Adam Foote full season — no change

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
TOI	12.51	n/a	12.51
5v5 TOI	10.27	n/a	10.27
PP TOI	1.90	n/a	1.90

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 4 · 4 · 5 · 0

TOI*

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.

By season — year over year

TOI

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

TOI → 12.51: No qualifying 2025-26 — projected off the prior role
5v5 TOI → 10.27: No qualifying 2025-26 — projected off the prior role
PP TOI → 1.90: No qualifying 2025-26 — projected off the prior role

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
SOG/60	5.70	n/a	6.33
G/60	0.66	n/a	0.73
iSH%	11.53	n/a	11.53
ixG/60	–	n/a	0.65
iCF/60	–	n/a	11.93
iSCF/60	–	n/a	6.09
iHDCF/60	–	n/a	2.44

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 4 · 4 · 5 · 0

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

By season — year over year

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

SOG

all5v5

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextProject Lekkerimaki as a boom/bust VAN sniper for 2026-27 with goal/PP-finish upside; discount for consistency risk.

ContextNo 2025-26 sample — goals/shots projected off the prior 3-yr profile, held flat.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
on-ice SH%	7.63	n/a	7.63
IPP	49.74	n/a	49.74
1A/60	0.24	n/a	0.24
2A/60	0.00	n/a	0.00

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 4 · 4 · 5 · 0

1A/60

2A/60

By season — year over year

1A/60

2A/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

PTS

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextAssist environment looks normal (on-ice SH% 7.6%, IPP 49.7%).

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
PP TOI	1.90	n/a	1.90
PP iSH%	0.00	n/a	0.00
PP SOG/60	7.54	n/a	5.26
PP ixG/60	–	n/a	0.69

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 4 · 4 · 5 · 0

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

By season — year over year

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PPP

PPG

PPA

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextProject Lekkerimaki as a boom/bust VAN sniper for 2026-27 with goal/PP-finish upside; discount for consistency risk.

ContextLittle/no PP role — PP points capped regardless of finishing.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
PIMs/60	0.29	n/a	0.49
Hits/60	3.99	n/a	3.65
Blks/60	1.90	n/a	1.46

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 4 · 4 · 5 · 0

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

By season — year over year

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PIM

all5v5

HITS

all5v5

BLK

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

TailwindHits surging late: Q4 4.53/60 and 2nd-half 4.53 vs a 3.65 season rate (3.65 3-yr) (45th pct league-wide) — reads as a real role/confidence step, so projected UP to 3.99/60, weighting the finish over the 3-yr baseline.

TailwindBlocks surging late: Q4 2.27/60 and 2nd-half 2.27 vs a 1.46 season rate (1.46 3-yr) (16th pct league-wide) — reads as a real role/confidence step, so projected UP to 1.90/60, weighting the finish over the 3-yr baseline.