Overview
@HockeyBangers
Value over replacement, based on 82 games played.
Ideal for H2H 12-team banger category leagues, 16 roster spots.
| Per 82 GP | 2026-27projection | 2025-26thin | H225-26 | H125-26 | Prev 3thin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOI | 16.50 | – | – | – | – |
| PP TOI | 2.60 | – | – | – | – |
| G | 22 | – | – | – | – |
| A | 40 | – | – | – | – |
| PTS | 62 | – | – | – | – |
| PPP | 18 | – | – | – | – |
| SOG | 160 | – | – | – | – |
| PIM | 48 | – | – | – | – |
| Hits | 20 | – | – | – | – |
| Blocks | 16 | – | – | – | – |
Manual baseline: no usable NHL sample to regress, so the line is set from a prospect projection (role, upside comparable, multi-year ceiling) blended with any 2025-26 NHL data. Not an engine regression; edit in adjustments.json.
Context-adjusted (▲/▼ vs the rate-model baseline): [LOW-CONF - no NHL sample; rookie manual baseline] Created because he was absent from our projections entirely while an outside set projects a full 82-game first-unit role at 70 points — a draft-relevant hole, not a rounding difference. Held BELOW that read at 62: it is a first-year projection with no NHL sample to anchor on, and rookie point projections carry the widest error of anything we publish. Goals shaded down and assists up from a flat read of the outside line, matching his junior profile as a distributor. He is on the manual-baseline path, so these set values ARE the projection — deploy bets and PP-tier placement are inert. Revisit at the Toronto review with a second source.
The projection above is a role-based estimate built from his projected deployment and a 3-year outlook — not a statistical projection off NHL play. Trend and per-category charts appear once he logs NHL games.