🏒@HockeyBangers2026-27 projections

Overview

@HockeyBangers

2026-27 Projection

Ivan Miroshnichenko

WSH · Age 22.5 · 🇷🇺 Russia · 6′1″, 185 lb · Draft 2022, 20th overall (WSH)
WSHteam
RWposition
218position rank
661skater rank
-37overall
-32offense
-5peripherals
goals
15
assists
11
points
26
power play points
6
shots on goal
112
penalty minutes
16
hits
86
blocked shots
20

Value over replacement, based on 82 games played.
Ideal for H2H 12-team banger category leagues, 16 roster spots.

Per 82 GP2026-27projection adj2025-26thinH211 GPH12 GPPrev 321 GP · 1y
TOI12.14–9.28–12.14
PP TOI0.64–––0.64
G▲15–––8
A▼11–––16
PTS▲26–––23
PPP▲6–––4
SOG▲112–––117
PIM▲16–––23
Hits▼86–––195
Blocks▼20–––20

Sample: 13 GP · 125 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingRight wing · league-wide (of 273)
215Ethen Frank-36
216Jakob Pelletier-36
217Ilya Mikheyev-37
218Ivan Miroshnichenko-37
219Nathan Bastian-37
220Jonathan Lekkerimaki-37
221Adam Gaudette-39
offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Context-adjusted (▲/▼ vs the rate-model baseline): Rookie baseline: projected role (depth, goal-lean, low TOI so far; one day could become someone like Tarasenko) blended with 2025-26 NHL (13 GP) at w=0.33. Per-82 line; GP/availability is separate. Tune here.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Forward
Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit
Complementary Forward
Same position, opposite profile — strong where Ivan Miroshnichenko is weak or average, light where he’s strong
Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)
This player
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
the profile below
vs Similar
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
similar players hug the shape
vs Complementary
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)
Coaching
2026-27 · Spencer Carbery (WSH)
Last year: Spencer Carbery full season — no change
Metric26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
TOI12.14n/a12.14
5v5 TOI11.49n/a11.49
PP TOI0.64n/a0.64
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  0 · 2 · 2 · 9
TOI*
3-yr 12.149.28Q1Q2Q3Q4
5v5 TOI
3-yr 11.499.28Q1Q2Q3Q4
*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.
By season — year over year
TOI
12.1422-2323-2424-2525-2626-27
5v5 TOI
11.4922-2323-2424-2525-2626-27
PP TOI
0.6422-2323-2424-2525-2626-27

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
SOG/605.94n/a7.21
G/600.41n/a0.50
iSH%6.93n/a6.93
ixG/60–n/a1.13
iCF/60–n/a17.41
iSCF/60–n/a10.20
iHDCF/60–n/a4.73
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  0 · 2 · 2 · 9
SOG/60
3-yr 7.215.03Q1Q2Q3Q4
iSH%
3-yr 6.9328.63Q1Q2Q3Q4
ixG/60
3-yr 1.130.69Q1Q2Q3Q4
iCF/60
3-yr 17.4112.22Q1Q2Q3Q4
iSCF/60
3-yr 10.206.47Q1Q2Q3Q4
iHDCF/60
3-yr 4.731.44Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
SOG/60
7.2122-2323-2424-2525-26
iSH%
6.9322-2323-2424-2525-26
ixG/60
1.1322-2323-2424-2525-26
iCF/60
17.4122-2323-2424-2525-26
iSCF/60
10.2022-2323-2424-2525-26
iHDCF/60
4.7322-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
G
1522-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
SOG
11222-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
TailwindProject Miroshnichenko for a depth WAS role for 2026-27 with a goal lean; low TOI so far caps the near-term ceiling.
ContextNo 2025-26 sample — goals/shots projected off the prior 3-yr profile, held flat.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
on-ice SH%7.14n/a7.14
IPP71.26n/a71.26
1A/600.25n/a0.25
2A/600.50n/a0.50
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  0 · 2 · 2 · 9
1A/60
3-yr 0.250.72Q1Q2Q3Q4
2A/60
3-yr 0.500.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
1A/60
0.2522-2323-2424-2525-26
2A/60
0.5022-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
A
1122-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
PTS
2622-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextAssist environment looks normal (on-ice SH% 7.1%, IPP 71.3%).

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
PP TOI0.64n/a0.64
PP iSH%0.00n/a0.00
PP SOG/604.49n/a4.49
PP ixG/60–n/a1.41
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  0 · 2 · 2 · 9
PP TOI/GP
3-yr 0.64Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP SOG/60
3-yr 4.49Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP ixG/60
3-yr 1.41Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
PP TOI/GP
0.6422-2323-2424-2525-26
PP SOG/60
4.4922-2323-2424-2525-26
PP ixG/60
1.4122-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
PPP
622-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
PPG
222-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
PPA
422-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextLittle/no PP role — PP points capped regardless of finishing.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
PIMs/600.60n/a1.00
Hits/6010.91n/a12.44
Blks/601.67n/a1.24
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  0 · 2 · 2 · 9
PIMs/60
3-yr 1.000.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
Hits/60
3-yr 12.448.62Q1Q2Q3Q4
Blks/60
3-yr 1.242.16Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
PIMs/60
1.0022-2323-2424-2525-26
Hits/60
12.4422-2323-2424-2525-26
Blks/60
1.2422-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
PIM
1622-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
HITS
8622-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
BLK
2022-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
RiskHits tailing off: Q4 8.62/60 and 2nd-half 8.62 below the 12.44 season rate — projected DOWN to 10.91/60, weighting the recent decline over the 12.44 3-yr mark.
TailwindBlocks surging late: Q4 2.16/60 and 2nd-half 2.16 vs a 1.24 season rate (1.24 3-yr) (9th pct league-wide) — reads as a real role/confidence step, so projected UP to 1.67/60, weighting the finish over the 3-yr baseline.