🏒@HockeyBangers2026-27 projections

Overview

@HockeyBangers

2026-27 Projection

Patrik Laine

MTL · Age 28.3 · 🇫🇮 Finland · 6′5″, 205 lb · Draft 2016, 2nd overall (WPG)
MTLteam
LW,RWposition
47position rank
142skater rank
51overall
31offense
20peripherals
goals
28
assists
29
points
57
power play points
25
shots on goal
197
penalty minutes
28
hits
41
blocked shots
35

Value over replacement, based on 82 games played.
Ideal for H2H 12-team banger category leagues, 16 roster spots.

Per 82 GP2026-27projection2025-26thinH225-26H15 GPPrev 3107 GP · 2y
TOI16.78––12.2716.78
PP TOI3.16––2.443.16
G28–––32
A29–––33
PTS57–––65
PPP25–––27
SOG197–––230
PIM28–––23
Hits41–––41
Blocks35–––41

Sample: 5 GP · 49 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingLeft wing · league-wide (of 281)
44A.J. Greer55
45Evander Kane53
46Mason Marchment52
47Patrik Laine51
48Jared McCann49
49Vasily Podkolzin47
50Jake DeBrusk45
offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Forward
Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit
Complementary Forward
Same position, opposite profile — strong where Patrik Laine is weak or average, light where he’s strong
Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)
This player
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
the profile below
vs Similar
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
similar players hug the shape
vs Complementary
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)
Coaching
2026-27 · Martin St. Louis (MTL)
Last year: Martin St. Louis full season — no change
Metric26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
TOI16.78n/a16.78
5v5 TOI12.74n/a12.74
PP TOI3.16n/a3.16
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  5 · 0 · 0 · 0
TOI*
3-yr 16.7812.27Q1Q2Q3Q4
5v5 TOI
3-yr 12.749.83Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP TOI
3-yr 3.162.44Q1Q2Q3Q4
*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.
By season — year over year
TOI
16.7822-2323-2424-2525-2626-27
5v5 TOI
12.7422-2323-2424-2525-2626-27
PP TOI
3.1622-2323-2424-2525-2626-27

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
SOG/603.41n/a6.21
G/600.51n/a0.70
iSH%11.33n/a11.33
ixG/60–n/a0.54
iCF/60–n/a12.98
iSCF/60–n/a6.65
iHDCF/60–n/a2.02
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  5 · 0 · 0 · 0
SOG/60
3-yr 6.211.22Q1Q2Q3Q4
iSH%
3-yr 11.330.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
ixG/60
3-yr 0.540.27Q1Q2Q3Q4
iCF/60
3-yr 12.989.77Q1Q2Q3Q4
iSCF/60
3-yr 6.653.66Q1Q2Q3Q4
iHDCF/60
3-yr 2.021.22Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
SOG/60
4.6122-2323-2424-2525-26
iSH%
6.9422-2323-2424-2525-26
ixG/60
0.4522-2323-2424-2525-26
iCF/60
10.0822-2323-2424-2525-26
iSCF/60
5.1522-2323-2424-2525-26
iHDCF/60
1.1822-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
G
2822-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
SOG
19722-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextNo 2025-26 sample — goals/shots projected off the prior 3-yr profile, held flat.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
on-ice SH%8.65n/a8.65
IPP75.43n/a75.43
1A/600.50n/a0.57
2A/600.46n/a0.48
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  5 · 0 · 0 · 0
1A/60
3-yr 0.571.22Q1Q2Q3Q4
2A/60
3-yr 0.480.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
1A/60
0.3222-2323-2424-2525-26
2A/60
0.4322-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
A
2922-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
PTS
5722-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextAssist environment looks normal (on-ice SH% 8.6%, IPP 75.4%).

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
PP TOI3.16n/a3.16
PP iSH%18.41n/a18.41
PP SOG/6021.89n/a22.17
PP ixG/60–n/a1.97
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  5 · 0 · 0 · 0
PP TOI/GP
3-yr 3.162.44Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP SOG/60
3-yr 22.1719.67Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP ixG/60
3-yr 1.972.28Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
PP TOI/GP
2.9622-2323-2424-2525-26
PP SOG/60
24.5422-2323-2424-2525-26
PP ixG/60
2.0122-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
PPP
2522-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
PPG
1322-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
PPA
1222-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextLittle/no PP role — PP points capped regardless of finishing.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
PIMs/601.55n/a1.15
Hits/602.23n/a2.20
Blks/601.27n/a2.11
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  5 · 0 · 0 · 0
PIMs/60
3-yr 1.152.44Q1Q2Q3Q4
Hits/60
3-yr 2.202.44Q1Q2Q3Q4
Blks/60
3-yr 2.110.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
PIMs/60
1.5022-2323-2424-2525-26
Hits/60
2.6822-2323-2424-2525-26
Blks/60
2.7922-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
PIM
2822-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
HITS
4122-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
BLK
3522-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
TailwindHits surging late: Q4 2.44/60 and 2nd-half 2.44 vs a 2.20 season rate (2.20 3-yr) (27th pct league-wide) — reads as a real role/confidence step, so projected UP to 2.23/60, weighting the finish over the 3-yr baseline.
RiskBlocks tailing off: Q4 0.00/60 and 2nd-half 0.00 below the 2.11 season rate — projected DOWN to 1.27/60, weighting the recent decline over the 2.11 3-yr mark.