🏒@HockeyBangers2026-27 projections

Overview

@HockeyBangers

2026-27 Projection

Jonah Gadjovich

FLA · Age 27.8 · 🇨🇦 Canada · 6′2″, 209 lb · Draft 2017, 55th overall (VAN)
FLAteam
LW,RWposition
89position rank
245skater rank
19overall
-59offense
78peripherals
goals
7
assists
3
points
10
power play points
0
shots on goal
75
penalty minutes
142
hits
218
blocked shots
35

Value over replacement, based on 82 games played.
Ideal for H2H 12-team banger category leagues, 16 roster spots.

Per 82 GP2026-27projection2025-26thinH225-26H110 GPPrev 3116 GP · 3y
TOI8.27––7.928.27
PP TOI0.09––0.070.09
G7–––6
A3–––4
PTS10–––11
PPP0–––0
SOG75–––74
PIM142–––156
Hits218–––212
Blocks35–––37

Sample: 10 GP · 78 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingLeft wing · league-wide (of 281)
86Chris Kreider20
87Ivan Barbashev19
88Ridly Greig19
89Jonah Gadjovich19
90Michael Pezzetta19
91Tyler Toffoli18
92Dakota Joshua17
offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Forward
Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit
Complementary Forward
Same position, opposite profile — strong where Jonah Gadjovich is weak or average, light where he’s strong
  • Jack HughesC,LW · New Jersey Devilscovers 4
    fills: SOG, PPP, A, G
  • Jack EichelC · Vegas Golden Knightscovers 4
    fills: SOG, A, PPP, G
  • Artemi PanarinLW · Los Angeles Kingscovers 4
    fills: A, PPP, SOG, G
  • William NylanderRW · Toronto Maple Leafscovers 4
    fills: PPP, SOG, G, A
Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)
This player
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
the profile below
vs Similar
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
similar players hug the shape
vs Complementary
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)
Coaching
2026-27 · Paul Maurice (FLA)
Last year: Paul Maurice full season — no change
Metric26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
TOI8.27n/a8.27
5v5 TOI8.09n/a8.09
PP TOI0.09n/a0.09
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  10 · 0 · 0 · 0
TOI*
3-yr 8.277.92Q1Q2Q3Q4
5v5 TOI
3-yr 8.097.85Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP TOI
3-yr 0.090.07Q1Q2Q3Q4
*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.
By season — year over year
TOI
8.2722-2323-2424-2525-2626-27
5v5 TOI
8.0922-2323-2424-2525-2626-27
PP TOI
0.0922-2323-2424-2525-2626-27

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
SOG/606.59n/a6.59
G/600.58n/a0.58
iSH%8.79n/a8.79
ixG/60–n/a0.87
iCF/60–n/a12.67
iSCF/60–n/a7.55
iHDCF/60–n/a4.35
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  10 · 0 · 0 · 0
SOG/60
3-yr 6.596.12Q1Q2Q3Q4
iSH%
3-yr 8.790.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
ixG/60
3-yr 0.870.45Q1Q2Q3Q4
iCF/60
3-yr 12.679.17Q1Q2Q3Q4
iSCF/60
3-yr 7.556.88Q1Q2Q3Q4
iHDCF/60
3-yr 4.352.29Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
SOG/60
7.3122-2323-2424-2525-26
iSH%
9.5822-2323-2424-2525-26
ixG/60
1.0022-2323-2424-2525-26
iCF/60
15.3122-2323-2424-2525-26
iSCF/60
8.0022-2323-2424-2525-26
iHDCF/60
4.1822-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
G
722-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
SOG
7522-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextNo 2025-26 sample — goals/shots projected off the prior 3-yr profile, held flat.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
on-ice SH%6.58n/a6.58
IPP55.56n/a55.56
1A/600.17n/a0.19
2A/600.12n/a0.19
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  10 · 0 · 0 · 0
1A/60
3-yr 0.192.29Q1Q2Q3Q4
2A/60
3-yr 0.190.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
1A/60
0.0022-2323-2424-2525-26
2A/60
0.0022-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
A
322-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
PTS
1022-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextAssist environment looks normal (on-ice SH% 6.6%, IPP 55.6%).

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
PP TOI0.09n/a0.09
PP iSH%0.00n/a0.00
PP SOG/603.35n/a6.06
PP ixG/60–n/a2.10
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  10 · 0 · 0 · 0
PP TOI/GP
3-yr 0.090.07Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP SOG/60
3-yr 6.060.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP ixG/60
3-yr 2.100.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
PP TOI/GP
0.1222-2323-2424-2525-26
PP SOG/60
12.0822-2323-2424-2525-26
PP ixG/60
4.1922-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
PPP
022-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
PPG
022-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
PPA
022-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextLittle/no PP role — PP points capped regardless of finishing.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
PIMs/6011.97n/a13.50
Hits/6019.53n/a19.00
Blks/602.93n/a3.35
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  10 · 0 · 0 · 0
PIMs/60
3-yr 13.505.35Q1Q2Q3Q4
Hits/60
3-yr 19.0022.17Q1Q2Q3Q4
Blks/60
3-yr 3.352.29Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
PIMs/60
8.7022-2323-2424-2525-26
Hits/60
21.4022-2323-2424-2525-26
Blks/60
3.6522-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
PIM
14222-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
HITS
21822-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
BLK
3522-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
TailwindHits surging late: Q4 22.17/60 and 2nd-half 22.17 vs a 19.00 season rate (19.00 3-yr) (97th pct league-wide) — reads as a real role/confidence step, so projected UP to 19.53/60, weighting the finish over the 3-yr baseline.
RiskBlocks tailing off: Q4 2.29/60 and 2nd-half 2.29 below the 3.35 season rate — projected DOWN to 2.93/60, weighting the recent decline over the 3.35 3-yr mark.
TailwindFights / takes majors (1.60/60) — a real PIM source, valuable in banger and PIM formats.