Per 82 GP	2026-27projection	2025-2620 GP	H220 GP	H125-26	Prev 3thin
TOI	11.78	11.78	11.45	–	–
PP TOI	0.08	0.08	0.08	–	–
G	12	12	14	–	–
A	8	8	10	–	–
PTS	20	20	24	–	–
PPP	0	0	0	–	–
SOG	99	103	79	–	–
PIM	9	8	10	–	–
Hits	131	131	131	–	–
Blocks	26	25	30	–	–

Sample: 20 GP · 187 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingCentre · league-wide (of 271)

211Nate Danielson-46

212Owen Beck-46

213Tomas Nosek-48

214Arttu Hyry-48

215John Beecher-48

216Radek Faksa-49

217Bo Groulx-50

offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Forward

Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit

Mackie SamoskevichLW,RW · Seattle Kraken79% match
shared: Hits
Emil HeinemanLW,RW · New York Islanders78% match
shared: Hits
Ivan BarbashevLW · Vegas Golden Knights76% match
shared: Hits
Cole PerfettiLW,RW · Winnipeg Jets75% match

Complementary Forward

Same position, opposite profile — strong where Arttu Hyry is weak or average, light where he’s strong

Clayton KellerLW · Utah Mammothcovers 3
fills: PPP, A, SOG
Evgeni MalkinC,LW · Pittsburgh Penguinscovers 4
fills: A, PIM, PPP, SOG
Nikita KucherovRW · Tampa Bay Lightningcovers 4
fills: A, PPP, SOG, PIM
Dylan StromeC · Washington Capitalscovers 2
fills: PPP, A

Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)

This player

the profile below

vs Similar

similar players hug the shape

vs Complementary

complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)

Coaching

2026-27 · Glen Gulutzan (DAL)

Last year: Glen Gulutzan full season (1st yr) — no change

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
TOI	11.78	11.78	n/a
5v5 TOI	9.36	9.39	n/a
PP TOI	0.08	0.08	n/a

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 0 · 0 · 4 · 16

TOI*

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.

By season — year over year

TOI

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

TOI → 11.78: holds the rookie-season role
5v5 TOI → 9.36: holds the rookie-season role
PP TOI → 0.08: same coach (Glen Gulutzan) — carries the elevated finish (2nd half 0.1, Q4 0.1) over the full-year 0.1

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
SOG/60	6.77	7.03	n/a
G/60	0.62	0.64	n/a
iSH%	9.10	9.10	n/a
ixG/60	–	0.95	n/a
iCF/60	–	12.46	n/a
iSCF/60	–	7.99	n/a
iHDCF/60	–	3.83	n/a

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 0 · 0 · 4 · 16

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

By season — year over year

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

SOG

all5v5

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
on-ice SH%	9.88	9.88	n/a
IPP	57.14	57.14	n/a
1A/60	0.32	0.32	n/a
2A/60	0.32	0.32	n/a

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 0 · 0 · 4 · 16

1A/60

2A/60

By season — year over year

1A/60

2A/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

PTS

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextAssist environment looks normal (on-ice SH% 9.9%, IPP 57.1%).

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
PP TOI	0.08	0.08	n/a
PP iSH%	–	n/a	n/a
PP SOG/60	0.00	0.00	n/a
PP ixG/60	–	0.00	n/a

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 0 · 0 · 4 · 16

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

By season — year over year

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PPP

PPG

PPA

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextPP role steady at ~0.1 PP TOI/gp.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
PIMs/60	0.66	0.64	n/a
Hits/60	9.58	9.58	n/a
Blks/60	1.66	1.60	n/a

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 0 · 0 · 4 · 16

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

By season — year over year

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PIM

all5v5

HITS

all5v5

BLK

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextHits role-stable at 9.58/60 (84th pct league-wide) → 9.58 projected.

TailwindBlocks surging late: Q4 2.03/60 and 2nd-half 2.03 vs a 1.60 season rate (n/a 3-yr) (20th pct league-wide) — reads as a real role/confidence step, so projected UP to 1.66/60, weighting the finish over the 3-yr baseline.