Per 82 GP	2026-27projection	2025-26thin	H23 GP	H116 GP	Prev 368 GP · 2y
TOI	5.15	–	–	4.06	5.15
PP TOI	0.03	–	–	0.08	0.03
G	2	–	–	–	2
A	1	–	–	–	1
PTS	3	–	–	–	4
PPP	0	–	–	–	0
SOG	22	–	–	–	28
PIM	139	–	–	–	116
Hits	115	–	–	–	148
Blocks	23	–	–	–	23

Sample: 19 GP · 79 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingLeft wing · league-wide (of 281)

173Philipp Kurashev-23

174Alex Newhook-23

175Zemgus Girgensons-23

176Kurtis MacDermid-23

177Matias Maccelli-24

178Teuvo Teravainen-24

179Yegor Sharangovich-25

offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Forward

Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit

Curtis DouglasC,RW · Seattle Kraken98% match
shared: PIM, Hits
Ross JohnstonLW · St. Louis Blues91% match
shared: PIM, Hits
Jonah GadjovichLW,RW · Florida Panthers91% match
shared: PIM, Hits
A.J. GreerLW · Anaheim Ducks89% match
shared: PIM, Hits

Complementary Forward

Same position, opposite profile — strong where Kurtis MacDermid is weak or average, light where he’s strong

Jack HughesC,LW · New Jersey Devilscovers 4
fills: SOG, PPP, A, G
Jack EichelC · Vegas Golden Knightscovers 4
fills: SOG, A, PPP, G
Kyle ConnorLW · Winnipeg Jetscovers 4
fills: SOG, G, A, PPP
Artemi PanarinLW · Los Angeles Kingscovers 4
fills: A, PPP, SOG, G

Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)

This player

the profile below

vs Similar

similar players hug the shape

vs Complementary

complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)

Coaching

2026-27 · Travis Green (OTT)

Last year: Travis Green full season — no change

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
TOI	5.15	n/a	5.15
5v5 TOI	5.08	n/a	5.08
PP TOI	0.03	n/a	0.03

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 8 · 8 · 1 · 2

TOI*

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.

By season — year over year

TOI

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

TOI → 5.15: No qualifying 2025-26 — projected off the prior role
5v5 TOI → 5.08: No qualifying 2025-26 — projected off the prior role
PP TOI → 0.03: No qualifying 2025-26 — projected off the prior role

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
SOG/60	2.63	n/a	3.99
G/60	0.25	n/a	0.35
iSH%	8.72	n/a	8.72
ixG/60	–	n/a	0.38
iCF/60	–	n/a	7.29
iSCF/60	–	n/a	4.52
iHDCF/60	–	n/a	2.95

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 8 · 8 · 1 · 2

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

By season — year over year

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

SOG

all5v5

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextNo 2025-26 sample — goals/shots projected off the prior 3-yr profile, held flat.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
on-ice SH%	7.99	n/a	7.99
IPP	37.67	n/a	37.67
1A/60	0.15	n/a	0.17
2A/60	0.00	n/a	0.00

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 8 · 8 · 1 · 2

1A/60

2A/60

By season — year over year

1A/60

2A/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

PTS

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextAssist environment looks normal (on-ice SH% 8.0%, IPP 37.7%).

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
PP TOI	0.03	n/a	0.03
PP iSH%	–	n/a	n/a
PP SOG/60	0.00	n/a	0.00
PP ixG/60	–	n/a	0.00

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 8 · 8 · 1 · 2

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

By season — year over year

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PPP

PPG

PPA

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextLittle/no PP role — PP points capped regardless of finishing.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
PIMs/60	21.25	n/a	16.67
Hits/60	16.47	n/a	21.18
Blks/60	3.34	n/a	3.30

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 8 · 8 · 1 · 2

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

By season — year over year

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PIM

all5v5

HITS

all5v5

BLK

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

RiskHits tailing off: Q4 10.61/60 and 2nd-half 12.09 below the 21.18 season rate — projected DOWN to 16.47/60, weighting the recent decline over the 21.18 3-yr mark.

TailwindBlocks surging late: Q4 2.12/60 and 2nd-half 4.46 vs a 3.30 season rate (3.30 3-yr) (68th pct league-wide) — reads as a real role/confidence step, so projected UP to 3.34/60, weighting the finish over the 3-yr baseline.

TailwindFights / takes majors (1.39/60) — a real PIM source, valuable in banger and PIM formats.