Per 82 GP	2026-27projection	2025-2667 GP	H227 GP	H140 GP	Prev 3190 GP · 3y
TOI	14.02	14.06	13.42	13.94	14.88
PP TOI	0.61	0.70	0.19	1.05	0.66
G	14	16	18	14	15
A	15	15	16	13	14
PTS	29	31	35	28	29
PPP	1	1	0	2	2
SOG	117	111	133	97	135
PIM	31	37	24	45	31
Hits	87	91	107	79	75
Blocks	42	49	47	50	43

Sample: 67 GP · 779 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingRight wing · league-wide (of 273)

182Teuvo Teravainen-24

183Yegor Sharangovich-25

184Braeden Bowman-25

185Joel Armia-25

186Nicolas Aube-Kubel-26

187Barclay Goodrow-26

188Ryan Strome-26

offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Metrics worth highlighting

The charts that move this projection — where he broke from his own 3-year rate, where the season split in half, and where we’re taking the number next year

Second-half surge

SOG/60

SOG/60 finished the year 67% above where it started (4.14 in the first half, 6.91 in the second). The projection leans on how the season ended, so the second half counts for more.

Second-half surge

ixG/60

ixG/60 finished the year 51% above where it started (0.42 in the first half, 0.62 in the second). The projection leans on how the season ended, so the second half counts for more.

Above his 3-year rate

1A/60

1A/60 ran 54% above his 3-year rate last season (0.69 against 0.45).

Above his 3-year rate

Blks/60

Blks/60 ran 33% above his 3-year rate last season (2.77 against 2.08).

Picked automatically from every chart on this card, ranked by how far each number moved. Each claim is measured off the chart drawn beside it.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Forward

Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit

Scott LaughtonLW · Los Angeles Kings87% match
shared: Blocks, Hits
Easton CowanC,RW · Toronto Maple Leafs85% match
shared: Hits
Jake NeighboursLW,RW · St. Louis Blues85% match
shared: Blocks, Hits
Erik HaulaC,LW · Los Angeles Kings84% match
shared: Blocks, Hits

Complementary Forward

Same position, opposite profile — strong where Joel Armia is weak or average, light where he’s strong

Jack HughesC,LW · New Jersey Devilscovers 3
fills: SOG, PPP, A
Artemi PanarinLW · Los Angeles Kingscovers 3
fills: A, PPP, SOG
Jack EichelC · Vegas Golden Knightscovers 3
fills: SOG, A, PPP
Clayton KellerLW · Utah Mammothcovers 3
fills: PPP, A, SOG

Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)

This player

the profile below

vs Similar

similar players hug the shape

vs Complementary

complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)

Coaching

2026-27 · Peter Laviolette (LAK) new voice

Last year: Jim Hiller Q1-Q4 · fired Mar → D.J. Smith interim · end Q4 — in-season change

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
TOI	14.02	14.06	14.88	-6%
5v5 TOI	11.47	11.64	11.22	+4%
PP TOI	0.61	0.70	0.66	+6%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 21 · 19 · 13 · 14

TOI*

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.

By season — year over year

TOI

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

TOI → 14.02: holds last year's role
5v5 TOI → 11.47: holds last year's role
PP TOI → 0.61: role tapered late (Q4 0.3 vs 0.7 full-year) — projected toward the softer finish

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
SOG/60	5.70	5.31	7.18	-26%
G/60	0.55	0.54	0.67	-20%
iSH%	9.70	10.17	9.36	+9%
ixG/60	–	0.50	0.68	-27%
iCF/60	–	11.85	13.82	-14%
iSCF/60	–	5.16	7.57	-32%
iHDCF/60	–	1.92	3.04	-37%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 21 · 19 · 13 · 14

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

By season — year over year

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

SOG

all5v5

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextFinishing looks earned: iSH% 10.2% sits near the 9.4% 3-yr mark with 5v5 ixG/60 0.50 (38th pct league-wide) — goals held close to last year.

RiskShot volume down 26% (5v5 SOG/60 5.31 vs 7.18) — volume is the repeatable half, so this caps the goal ceiling.

TailwindTrajectory: 5v5 ixG/60 climbed 0.42→0.62 across the year — process trending the right way into next season.

RiskAge 33 — modest past-prime drag on scoring rates.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
on-ice SH%	7.42	7.22	8.04	-10%
IPP	73.59	75.14	68.90	+9%
1A/60	0.63	0.69	0.45	+54%
2A/60	0.22	0.15	0.25	-40%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 21 · 19 · 13 · 14

1A/60

2A/60

By season — year over year

1A/60

2A/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

PTS

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextAssist environment looks normal (on-ice SH% 7.2%, IPP 75.1%).

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
PP TOI	0.61	0.70	0.66	+6%
PP iSH%	4.19	9.98	0.00
PP SOG/60	11.22	12.73	6.68	+91%
PP ixG/60	–	2.43	1.19	+105%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 21 · 19 · 13 · 14

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

By season — year over year

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PPP

PPG

PPA

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

RiskPP role projected down: 0.7→0.6 PP TOI/gp (role tapered late (Q4 0.3 vs 0.7 full-year) — projected toward the softer finish) — the biggest PPP lever.

TailwindPP chance quality up (PP ixG/60 2.43 vs 1.19) — a real process gain, the kind that sustains PP points.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3	Diff
PIMs/60	1.76	1.85	1.86	-0%
Hits/60	4.97	5.08	4.36	+16%
Blks/60	2.50	2.77	2.08	+33%

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 21 · 19 · 13 · 14

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

By season — year over year

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PIM

all5v5

HITS

all5v5

BLK

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

TailwindHits surging late: Q4 6.58/60 and 2nd-half 6.18 vs a 5.08 season rate (4.36 3-yr) (60th pct league-wide) — reads as a real role/confidence step, so projected UP to 4.97/60, weighting the finish over the 3-yr baseline.

ContextBlocks role-stable at 2.77/60 (56th pct league-wide) → 2.50 projected.