🏒@HockeyBangers2026-27 projections

Overview

@HockeyBangers

2026-27 Projection

Jake Bean

CGY · Age 28.1 · 🇨🇦 Canada · 6′1″, 196 lb · Draft 2016, 13th overall (CAR)
CGYteam
Dposition
273position rank
758skater rank
-50overall
-60offense
10peripherals
goals
3
assists
8
points
11
power play points
0
shots on goal
89
penalty minutes
25
hits
26
blocked shots
104

Value over replacement, based on 82 games played.
Ideal for H2H 12-team banger category leagues, 16 roster spots.

Per 82 GP2026-27projection2025-26thinH225-26H116 GPPrev 3136 GP · 2y
TOI15.74––15.5015.74
PP TOI0.07––0.090.07
G3–––4
A8–––8
PTS11–––12
PPP0–––0
SOG89–––89
PIM25–––24
Hits26–––30
Blocks104–––92

Sample: 16 GP · 241 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingDefense · league-wide (of 303)
270Ethan Del Mastro-49
271Axel Sandin-Pellikka-49
272Hunter Brzustewicz-49
273Jake Bean-50
274Ian Moore-51
275David Jiricek-51
276Albert Johansson-52
offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Defense
Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit
Complementary Defense
Same position, opposite profile — strong where Jake Bean is weak or average, light where he’s strong
  • Cale MakarD · Colorado Avalanchecovers 3
    fills: A, PPP, SOG
  • Evan BouchardD · Edmonton Oilerscovers 3
    fills: A, PPP, SOG
  • Quinn HughesD · Minnesota Wildcovers 3
    fills: A, PPP, SOG
  • Zach WerenskiD · Columbus Blue Jacketscovers 3
    fills: SOG, A, PPP
Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)
This player
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
the profile below
vs Similar
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
similar players hug the shape
vs Complementary
GAPPPSOGPIMHitsBlocks
complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)
Coaching
2026-27 · Ryan Huska (CGY)
Last year: Ryan Huska full season — no change
Metric26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
TOI15.74n/a15.74
5v5 TOI14.60n/a14.60
PP TOI0.07n/a0.07
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  13 · 3 · 0 · 0
TOI*
3-yr 15.7415.50Q1Q2Q3Q4
5v5 TOI
3-yr 14.6015.41Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP TOI
3-yr 0.070.09Q1Q2Q3Q4
*Total TOI by quarter reconstructs 5v5+PP quarterly totals plus a held-flat season PK/GP — NST has no all-strength quarterly export. Level is accurate; quarter-to-quarter movement comes from 5v5+PP.
By season — year over year
TOI
15.7422-2323-2424-2525-2626-27
5v5 TOI
14.6022-2323-2424-2525-2626-27
PP TOI
0.0722-2323-2424-2525-2626-27

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
SOG/604.26n/a4.26
G/600.18n/a0.18
iSH%4.31n/a4.31
ixG/60–n/a0.17
iCF/60–n/a10.52
iSCF/60–n/a3.08
iHDCF/60–n/a0.43
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  13 · 3 · 0 · 0
SOG/60
3-yr 4.264.49Q1Q2Q3Q4
iSH%
3-yr 4.316.68Q1Q2Q3Q4
ixG/60
3-yr 0.170.16Q1Q2Q3Q4
iCF/60
3-yr 10.5211.38Q1Q2Q3Q4
iSCF/60
3-yr 3.083.89Q1Q2Q3Q4
iHDCF/60
3-yr 0.430.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
SOG/60
4.5522-2323-2424-2525-26
iSH%
2.8622-2323-2424-2525-26
ixG/60
0.1922-2323-2424-2525-26
iCF/60
10.8622-2323-2424-2525-26
iSCF/60
2.6022-2323-2424-2525-26
iHDCF/60
0.4622-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
G
322-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
SOG
8922-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextNo 2025-26 sample — goals/shots projected off the prior 3-yr profile, held flat.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
on-ice SH%7.42n/a7.42
IPP29.40n/a29.40
1A/600.22n/a0.24
2A/600.19n/a0.18
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  13 · 3 · 0 · 0
1A/60
3-yr 0.240.30Q1Q2Q3Q4
2A/60
3-yr 0.180.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
1A/60
0.1322-2323-2424-2525-26
2A/60
0.2022-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
A
822-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
PTS
1122-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextAssist environment looks normal (on-ice SH% 7.4%, IPP 29.4%).
ContextDefenseman — weight transition/PP facilitation over raw 2A; secondary assists read a touch better for D than forwards.

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
PP TOI0.07n/a0.07
PP iSH%0.00n/a0.00
PP SOG/603.27n/a5.93
PP ixG/60–n/a0.46
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  13 · 3 · 0 · 0
PP TOI/GP
3-yr 0.070.09Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP SOG/60
3-yr 5.930.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
PP ixG/60
3-yr 0.460.00Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
PP TOI/GP
0.1022-2323-2424-2525-26
PP SOG/60
9.5722-2323-2424-2525-26
PP ixG/60
0.7422-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
PPP
022-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
PPG
022-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
PPA
022-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
ContextLittle/no PP role — PP points capped regardless of finishing.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)26-27
proj		2025-26Prev 3Diff
PIMs/601.63n/a1.21
Hits/601.23n/a1.45
Blks/605.22n/a3.87
By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline
GP  13 · 3 · 0 · 0
PIMs/60
3-yr 1.214.79Q1Q2Q3Q4
Hits/60
3-yr 1.450.90Q1Q2Q3Q4
Blks/60
3-yr 3.876.89Q1Q2Q3Q4
By season — year over year
PIMs/60
0.5222-2323-2424-2525-26
Hits/60
1.4322-2323-2424-2525-26
Blks/60
2.6722-2323-2424-2525-26
Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection
PIM
2522-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
HITS
2622-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
BLK
10422-2323-2424-25H1H226-27
all5v5
The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.
Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)
RiskHits tailing off: Q4 0.90/60 and 2nd-half 0.90 below the 1.45 season rate — projected DOWN to 1.23/60, weighting the recent decline over the 1.45 3-yr mark.
TailwindBlocks surging late: Q4 6.89/60 and 2nd-half 6.89 vs a 3.87 season rate (3.87 3-yr) (78th pct league-wide) — reads as a real role/confidence step, so projected UP to 5.22/60, weighting the finish over the 3-yr baseline.