Per 82 GP	2026-27projection adj	2025-26thin	H23 GP	H125-26	Prev 330 GP · 1y
TOI	14.05	–	–	–	14.05
PP TOI	0.01	–	–	–	0.01
G	▼2	–	–	–	8
A	▼5	–	–	–	11
PTS	▼7	–	–	–	19
PPP	0	–	–	–	0
SOG	▼45	–	–	–	85
PIM	▼55	–	–	–	131
Hits	▼70	–	–	–	167
Blocks	▼45	–	–	–	68

Sample: 3 GP · 37 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates

Positional rankingDefense · league-wide (of 303)

289Dennis Cholowski-62

290P.O Joseph-63

291Egor Zamula-64

292Connor Mackey-64

293Isaiah George-64

294Ryan Johnson-65

295Joel Nystrom-67

offenseperipheralsvalue over replacement

Counts = projected deployment × projected /60 rate, per 82 GP. Rates regress off the process metric (ixG, shot-driving), not last year's finishing %. PP points = projected PP rate (anchored on the 2nd-half PP1 role, finishing regressed) × projected PP TOI.

Context-adjusted (▲/▼ vs the rate-model baseline): Stale-sample flag. He was ranked #210 overall on 167 hits and 131 PIM, which would make him a top-tier banger asset. He played THREE NHL games last season (12.57 TOI, 3.2 hits/60). The 167-hit rate comes from a 2022-23 ARI/CGY sample now three years old, and he does not appear on any current CHI depth projection. Set to a fringe/AHL-tweener line so the banger rank stops advertising a player who may not dress. Revisit if he makes the opening roster.

Similar & complementary players

Similar makeup Defense

Closest across all seven categories — match % is the whole-profile fit

Tyler TuckerD · St. Louis Blues97% match
shared: PIM, Hits
Maveric LamoureuxD · Utah Mammoth93% match
shared: PIM, Hits
Donovan SebrangoD · Florida Panthers93% match
shared: PIM, Hits
Arber XhekajD · Montreal Canadiens91% match
shared: PIM, Hits

Complementary Defense

Same position, opposite profile — strong where Connor Mackey is weak or average, light where he’s strong

Cale MakarD · Colorado Avalanchecovers 3
fills: A, PPP, SOG
Zach WerenskiD · Columbus Blue Jacketscovers 3
fills: SOG, A, PPP
Quinn HughesD · Minnesota Wildcovers 3
fills: A, PPP, SOG
Evan BouchardD · Edmonton Oilerscovers 3
fills: A, PPP, SOG

Profile shape — per-82 category values vs the league p99 for the position (same scale as the hero bars)

This player

the profile below

vs Similar

similar players hug the shape

vs Complementary

complements fill the gaps

Deployment

Deployment projection — next-year TOI & PP TOI vs the last two years (the role that drives every count)

Coaching

2026-27 · Jeff Blashill (CHI)

Last year (NYR, traded): Mike Sullivan full season (1st yr) — no change

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
TOI	14.05	n/a	14.05
5v5 TOI	12.51	n/a	12.51
PP TOI	0.01	n/a	0.01

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 0 · 0 · 0 · 3

By season — year over year

TOI

5v5 TOI

PP TOI

TOI → 14.05: No qualifying 2025-26 — projected off the prior role
5v5 TOI → 12.51: No qualifying 2025-26 — projected off the prior role
PP TOI → 0.01: No qualifying 2025-26 — projected off the prior role

Shooting — volume & conversion

How much and how well he shoots — volume (SOG), finishing (% vs chance quality), and the individual shot-quality funnel (iCF ⊇ iSCF ⊇ iHDCF).

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
SOG/60	4.79	n/a	4.79
G/60	0.48	n/a	0.48
iSH%	10.02	n/a	10.02
ixG/60	–	n/a	0.23
iCF/60	–	n/a	10.07
iSCF/60	–	n/a	2.08
iHDCF/60	–	n/a	0.16

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 0 · 0 · 0 · 3

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

By season — year over year

SOG/60

iSH%

ixG/60

iCF/60

iSCF/60

iHDCF/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

SOG

all5v5

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. The bold line is all situations; the muted line under it is 5v5 alone, so the gap between them is his special-teams production. Full seasons are true per-82 counts; the 2025-26 H1/H2 reconstruct all-strength from the 5v5+PP quarterly exports plus the season's held-flat PK/other. The projected 5v5 point is the engine's even-strength share of the total, converted to 5v5 by his own 5v5-to-even-strength split, so overtime and 4-on-4 scoring stays out of it.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextNo 2025-26 sample — goals/shots projected off the prior 3-yr profile, held flat.

Assists — playmaking & on-ice offense

Primary vs secondary helpers, plus the on-ice offense and luck signals underneath them.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
on-ice SH%	10.89	n/a	10.89
IPP	33.33	n/a	33.33
1A/60	0.16	n/a	0.16
2A/60	0.48	n/a	0.48

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 0 · 0 · 0 · 3

1A/60

2A/60

By season — year over year

1A/60

2A/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

all5v5

PTS

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextAssist environment looks normal (on-ice SH% 10.9%, IPP 33.3%).

ContextDefenseman — weight transition/PP facilitation over raw 2A; secondary assists read a touch better for D than forwards.

Power play

PP opportunity and finishing — modelled separately from 5v5.

Metric	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
PP TOI	0.01	n/a	0.01
PP iSH%	–	n/a	n/a
PP SOG/60	0.00	n/a	0.00
PP ixG/60	–	n/a	0.00

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 0 · 0 · 0 · 3

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

By season — year over year

PP TOI/GP

PP SOG/60

PP ixG/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PPP

PPG

PPA

The blue 26-27 point is our projection. PPG and PPA are the 2 halves of the PPP above them, split by the projection's own goal/assist mix. PP-only, so the halves are exact.

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextLittle/no PP role — PP points capped regardless of finishing.

Physical — PIM · hits · blocks

Peripheral counting categories. Noisier and scorer-biased — read as role over the years, not pure talent.

Metric (5v5)	26-27 proj	2025-26	Prev 3
PIMs/60	7.67	n/a	7.67
Hits/60	9.59	n/a	9.59
Blks/60	3.52	n/a	3.52

By quarter — 2025-26 vs 3-yr baseline

GP 0 · 0 · 0 · 3

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

By season — year over year

PIMs/60

Hits/60

Blks/60

Per-82 count — 3 seasons, 2025-26 halves & 26-27 projection

PIM

all5v5

HITS

all5v5

BLK

all5v5

Regression read — where next year's /60 rate lands and why (process over finishing)

ContextHits role-stable at 9.59/60 (84th pct league-wide) → 9.59 projected.

ContextBlocks role-stable at 3.52/60 (71st pct league-wide) → 3.52 projected.

TailwindFights / takes majors (0.64/60) — a real PIM source, valuable in banger and PIM formats.