Overview
@HockeyBangers
Value over replacement, based on 82 games played.
Ideal for H2H 12-team banger category leagues, 16 roster spots.
| Per 82 GP | 2026-27projection | 2025-26thin | H21 GP | H125-26 | Prev 3thin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOI | 19.00 | – | – | – | – |
| PP TOI | 1.20 | – | – | – | – |
| G | 6 | – | – | – | – |
| A | 17 | – | – | – | – |
| PTS | 23 | – | – | – | – |
| PPP | 5 | – | – | – | – |
| SOG | 120 | – | – | – | – |
| PIM | 24 | – | – | – | – |
| Hits | 78 | – | – | – | – |
| Blocks | 85 | – | – | – | – |
Sample: 1 GP · 11 5v5 min (2025-26) — how much ice time backs these rates
Manual baseline: no usable NHL sample to regress, so the line is set from a prospect projection (role, upside comparable, multi-year ceiling) blended with any 2025-26 NHL data. Not an engine regression; edit in adjustments.json.
Context-adjusted (▲/▼ vs the rate-model baseline): [LOW-CONF - role is a coin flip for 2026-27] Rate, not role. The two outside reads disagree wildly on his season (35 games and 10 points vs a full 84 and 32) but barely on his pace: they imply 23 and 31 per-82 respectively. Nobody projects a 14-point rate player, so the old cups-of-coffee line was too low as a per-82 figure even on the bearish view. Set to ~23, matching the bearish source's implied pace and ignoring the bullish role read entirely — the more cautious source also rates him only 50% to make the team, and that call runs against its own documented tendency to over-project, which makes it the heavier signal. Availability is handled separately from this rate; he has been moved off the top pair in the depth chart to match. Prior baseline was 4-10-14.
The projection above leans on a small NHL sample plus a role-based estimate. Trend and per-category charts are hidden until there's a fuller season to chart.